Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SDSU +110 BOIS -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +10 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -0.3 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -0.6 (-9.4) | 132.1 (-18.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -0.6 (-9.4) | 132.7 (-18.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -0.1 (-9.9) | 132.6 (-18.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -0.2 (-9.8) | 134.1 (-20.1) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BOIS 86 – 77 SDSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SDSU 110 – 107 BOIS |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SDSU 64 – 47 BOIS |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SDSU 76 – 68 BOIS |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BOIS 79 – 77 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#53) | 11.7 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#41) | 1.84 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#40) | 2.36 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#25) | 0.576 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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