Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SDSU -130 BOIS +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +17 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -1.6 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -3.0 (+14.0) | 129.4 (-18.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -2.6 (+14.4) | 129.1 (-18.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -2.5 (+14.5) | 130.2 (-19.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -2.2 (+14.8) | 130.8 (-19.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BOIS 86 – 77 SDSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SDSU 110 – 107 BOIS |
| Mar 13, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 52 SDSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SDSU 76 – 68 BOIS |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BOIS 79 – 77 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#56) | 12.2 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#45) | 1.64 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#45) | 2.20 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#39) | 0.574 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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