Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SDSU -333 BOIS +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +2 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | SDSU -5.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -5.7 (-7.7) | 138.2 (+17.8) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -6.0 (-8.0) | 138.0 (+18.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -5.8 (-7.8) | 138.3 (+17.7) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -5.2 (-7.2) | 140.2 (+15.8) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BOIS 86 – 77 SDSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SDSU 110 – 107 BOIS |
| Mar 13, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 52 SDSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SDSU 64 – 47 BOIS |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SDSU 76 – 68 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#21) | 11.9 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#16) | 2.01 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#20) | 2.24 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.634 (#6) | 0.591 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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