Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | MARQ -600 CREI +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -13.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -12.1 (-4.1) | 150.0 (-0.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -11.9 (-3.9) | 145.6 (+4.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -12.0 (-4.0) | 144.7 (+5.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -12.8 (-4.8) | 143.4 (+6.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MARQ 86 – 62 CREI |
| Dec 21, 2025 | CREI 84 – 63 MARQ |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CREI 77 – 67 MARQ |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CREI 89 – 75 MARQ |
| Dec 30, 2023 | MARQ 72 – 67 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 7-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 18.4 (#13) | 9.2 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.74 (#8) | 1.72 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.10 (#7) | 2.10 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.673 (#4) | 0.598 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 12.6% |
Game Analysis
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