Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | MARQ -195 CREI +162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -2.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -4.9 (+0.1) | 144.4 (-5.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -4.3 (+0.7) | 146.0 (-7.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -4.0 (+1.0) | 146.6 (-7.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -6.0 (-1.0) | 146.1 (-7.1) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MARQ 86 – 62 CREI |
| Dec 21, 2025 | CREI 84 – 63 MARQ |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CREI 77 – 67 MARQ |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MARQ 79 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CREI 89 – 75 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#13) | 16.7 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#12) | 1.42 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.57 (#9) | 2.21 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.653 (#10) | 0.584 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 59.0% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 10.6% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 9.6% |
Game Analysis
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