Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -450 MARQ +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +14 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -3.4 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -4.6 (+9.4) | 152.9 (+11.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -3.9 (+10.1) | 152.7 (+11.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -4.1 (+9.9) | 153.5 (+10.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -4.4 (+9.6) | 153.5 (+10.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MARQ 86 – 62 CREI |
| Dec 21, 2025 | CREI 84 – 63 MARQ |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CREI 77 – 67 MARQ |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MARQ 79 – 71 CREI |
| Dec 30, 2023 | MARQ 72 – 67 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 17.2 (#13) | 17.1 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#21) | 2.77 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#18) | 3.34 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#25) | 0.627 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.4% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.8% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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