Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ +110 CREI -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +24 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -4.8 (+28.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -3.7 (+27.7) | 153.3 (-5.3) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -2.4 (+26.4) | 152.6 (-4.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -4.7 (+28.7) | 149.7 (-1.7) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -3.7 (+27.7) | 151.6 (-3.6) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | CREI 84 – 63 MARQ |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CREI 77 – 67 MARQ |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MARQ 79 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CREI 89 – 75 MARQ |
| Dec 30, 2023 | MARQ 72 – 67 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#132) | 10.3 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#202) | 1.58 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#203) | 2.19 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#223) | 0.569 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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