Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -155 MARQ +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +10 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -0.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -1.8 (+8.2) | 144.7 (-0.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -1.9 (+8.1) | 142.2 (+1.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -2.1 (+7.9) | 142.1 (+1.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -0.9 (+9.1) | 142.1 (+1.9) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MARQ 86 – 62 CREI |
| Dec 21, 2025 | CREI 84 – 63 MARQ |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MARQ 79 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CREI 89 – 75 MARQ |
| Dec 30, 2023 | MARQ 72 – 67 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#34) | 17.0 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#35) | 2.87 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#44) | 3.88 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#27) | 0.626 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 12.9% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.5% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.6% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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