Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -298 MARQ +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +21 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -12.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -12.6 (+8.4) | 147.4 (-0.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -11.3 (+9.7) | 150.3 (-3.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -12.2 (+8.8) | 144.4 (+2.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -12.1 (+8.9) | 145.6 (+1.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MARQ 86 – 62 CREI |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CREI 77 – 67 MARQ |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MARQ 79 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CREI 89 – 75 MARQ |
| Dec 30, 2023 | MARQ 72 – 67 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#59) | 1.2 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#93) | -0.81 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#79) | -0.83 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#74) | 0.448 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.7% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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