Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | ETAM +2000 MCN -7500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +19 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -14.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -14.4 (-4.6) | 134.2 (-3.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -14.9 (-4.1) | 133.0 (-2.0) | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -13.9 (-5.1) | 133.6 (-2.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -11.6 (-7.4) | 135.8 (-4.8) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | MCN 97 – 54 ETAM |
| Dec 13, 2025 | MCN 102 – 66 ETAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | MCN 67 – 51 ETAM |
| Feb 6, 2024 | MCN 77 – 51 ETAM |
| Jan 6, 2024 | MCN 73 – 67 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 19-1 |
| Home | 4-10 | 15-1 |
| Away | 1-16 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#335) | 7.5 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#318) | 0.67 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.78 (#333) | 1.03 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#316) | 0.555 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 25.2% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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