Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | MCN -4000 ETAM +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +36 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -19.2 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -19.8 (+16.2) | 137.2 (+30.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -15.1 (+20.9) | 138.2 (+29.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -16.5 (+19.5) | 137.8 (+30.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -17.9 (+18.1) | 136.1 (+31.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | MCN 97 – 54 ETAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | MCN 67 – 51 ETAM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MCN 75 – 56 ETAM |
| Feb 6, 2024 | MCN 77 – 51 ETAM |
| Jan 6, 2024 | MCN 73 – 67 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 19-3 | 6-16 |
| Home | 14-0 | 6-8 |
| Away | 9-5 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 76.0 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#53) | -4.1 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#55) | -0.51 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#64) | -0.88 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#61) | 0.506 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.4% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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