Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -8000 ETAM +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +26 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -21.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -16.2 (+9.8) | 141.0 (-13.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -16.7 (+9.3) | 139.8 (-11.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -19.3 (+6.7) | 139.8 (-11.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -19.2 (+6.8) | 140.4 (-12.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | MCN 97 – 54 ETAM |
| Dec 13, 2025 | MCN 102 – 66 ETAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | MCN 67 – 51 ETAM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MCN 75 – 56 ETAM |
| Jan 6, 2024 | MCN 73 – 67 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-4 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 6-12 |
| Home | 18-0 | 8-7 |
| Away | 11-3 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#78) | -10.4 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#59) | -1.80 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#42) | -2.31 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#61) | 0.425 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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