Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM +850 MCN -1450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +43 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -13.0 (-30.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -12.2 (-30.8) | 139.4 (+11.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -11.2 (-31.8) | 137.8 (+13.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -11.2 (-31.8) | 138.5 (+12.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -12.2 (-30.8) | 139.6 (+11.4) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | MCN 102 – 66 ETAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | MCN 67 – 51 ETAM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MCN 75 – 56 ETAM |
| Feb 6, 2024 | MCN 77 – 51 ETAM |
| Jan 6, 2024 | MCN 73 – 67 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 19-3 |
| Home | 6-8 | 14-0 |
| Away | 4-13 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#289) | 8.1 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#276) | 1.44 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#279) | 1.74 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#244) | 0.588 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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