Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MASS -215 RICH +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +8 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -6.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -5.5 (-13.5) | 148.2 (-12.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -4.2 (-12.2) | 146.6 (-10.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -4.1 (-12.1) | 147.0 (-11.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -3.7 (-11.7) | 149.9 (-13.9) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2024 | MASS 69 – 59 RICH |
| Mar 7, 2023 | RICH 71 – 38 MASS |
| Jan 26, 2023 | MASS 85 – 76 RICH |
| Jan 6, 2022 | RICH 80 – 72 MASS |
| Feb 23, 2021 | RICH 79 – 65 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-8 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#244) | -6.4 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#261) | -1.17 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#247) | -1.53 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#251) | 0.445 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 25.8% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 31.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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