Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | MASS +115 RICH -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +9 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -1.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -0.8 (+8.2) | 137.7 (+23.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -1.3 (+7.7) | 137.8 (+23.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -0.7 (+8.3) | 137.9 (+23.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -0.7 (+8.3) | 138.8 (+22.2) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2025 | RICH 72 – 64 MASS |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MASS 69 – 59 RICH |
| Mar 7, 2023 | RICH 71 – 38 MASS |
| Jan 6, 2022 | RICH 80 – 72 MASS |
| Feb 23, 2021 | RICH 79 – 65 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#161) | 2.7 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#133) | 0.25 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#131) | 0.55 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#120) | 0.522 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.