Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -167 MASS +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +33 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -0.7 (+32.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -1.2 (+31.8) | 135.7 (-26.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -0.0 (+33.0) | 136.8 (-27.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -0.0 (+33.0) | 135.3 (-26.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -0.7 (+32.3) | 137.5 (-28.5) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2025 | RICH 72 – 64 MASS |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MASS 69 – 59 RICH |
| Jan 26, 2023 | MASS 85 – 76 RICH |
| Jan 6, 2022 | RICH 80 – 72 MASS |
| Feb 23, 2021 | RICH 79 – 65 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-11 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#168) | -0.6 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#186) | 0.03 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#165) | 0.08 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#187) | 0.512 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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