Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | RICH -335 MASS +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +10 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -4.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -2.8 (-12.8) | 144.3 (-16.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -5.0 (-15.0) | 143.9 (-15.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -5.1 (-15.1) | 144.7 (-16.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -5.1 (-15.1) | 146.1 (-18.1) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2025 | RICH 72 – 64 MASS |
| Mar 7, 2023 | RICH 71 – 38 MASS |
| Jan 26, 2023 | MASS 85 – 76 RICH |
| Jan 6, 2022 | RICH 80 – 72 MASS |
| Feb 23, 2021 | RICH 79 – 65 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#77) | 6.4 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#55) | 0.79 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#64) | 1.08 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#56) | 0.553 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 17.1% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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