Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -550 MASS +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -8.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -6.4 (+1.6) | 151.4 (+0.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -5.4 (+2.6) | 156.2 (-4.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -6.1 (+1.9) | 155.0 (-3.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -6.4 (+1.6) | 155.7 (-3.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2025 | RICH 72 – 64 MASS |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MASS 69 – 59 RICH |
| Mar 7, 2023 | RICH 71 – 38 MASS |
| Jan 26, 2023 | MASS 85 – 76 RICH |
| Feb 23, 2021 | RICH 79 – 65 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#108) | 0.1 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#124) | 0.18 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#114) | 0.26 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#114) | 0.528 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 39.9% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.