Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -400 MASS +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +14 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -6.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -4.4 (+9.6) | 151.7 (-7.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -6.4 (+7.6) | 151.1 (-7.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -6.5 (+7.5) | 150.7 (-6.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -5.8 (+8.2) | 153.9 (-9.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2025 | RICH 72 – 64 MASS |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MASS 69 – 59 RICH |
| Mar 7, 2023 | RICH 71 – 38 MASS |
| Jan 26, 2023 | MASS 85 – 76 RICH |
| Jan 6, 2022 | RICH 80 – 72 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-9 | 8-7 |
| Conference | 6-5 | 6-4 |
| Home | 6-4 | 4-3 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#60) | 5.3 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#56) | 0.62 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#59) | 1.16 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#51) | 0.514 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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