Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -145 MSU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +7 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -5.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -2.7 (-9.7) | 146.8 (-15.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -4.3 (-11.3) | 147.2 (-16.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -4.4 (-11.4) | 149.7 (-18.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -5.3 (-12.3) | 150.8 (-19.8) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MSU 66 – 60 OSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | OSU 60 – 57 MSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | OSU 68 – 58 MSU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | MSU 84 – 78 OSU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | MSU 62 – 41 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 30-7 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 17-3 |
| Home | 11-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 7-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#19) | 15.2 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#47) | 2.95 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.31 (#37) | 3.81 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#38) | 0.621 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.5% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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