Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MSU -600 OSU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +3 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | MSU -9.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -8.6 (-11.6) | 140.4 (-23.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSU -8.0 (-11.0) | 138.8 (-21.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -8.5 (-11.5) | 139.9 (-22.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -8.5 (-11.5) | 140.3 (-23.3) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MSU 66 – 60 OSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MSU 69 – 62 OSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | OSU 68 – 58 MSU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | MSU 84 – 78 OSU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | MSU 62 – 41 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 15-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#17) | 9.2 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#50) | 1.21 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#35) | 1.68 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#50) | 0.544 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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