Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MSU -700 OSU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +6 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | MSU -8.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -8.2 (-2.2) | 147.0 (-21.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSU -9.6 (-3.6) | 147.2 (-21.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -8.6 (-2.6) | 148.6 (-22.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -7.0 (-1.0) | 149.0 (-23.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2025 | MSU 69 – 62 OSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | OSU 60 – 57 MSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | OSU 68 – 58 MSU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | MSU 84 – 78 OSU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | MSU 62 – 41 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 20.3 (#12) | 14.5 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#14) | 2.24 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.41 (#13) | 3.06 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.634 (#14) | 0.566 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 38.9% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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