Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | MSU -165 OSU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +10 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | MSU -1.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -0.4 (-10.4) | 139.6 (-13.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSU -1.1 (-11.1) | 136.1 (-10.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -1.3 (-11.3) | 142.0 (-16.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -1.2 (-11.2) | 141.9 (-15.9) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MSU 66 – 60 OSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MSU 69 – 62 OSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | OSU 60 – 57 MSU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | MSU 84 – 78 OSU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | MSU 62 – 41 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 5-15 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#34) | 10.4 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#32) | 1.08 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#29) | 1.71 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#34) | 0.511 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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