Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC -150 MORE +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +19 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | TNTC -6.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -3.3 (+15.7) | 141.1 (-12.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -1.8 (+17.2) | 140.2 (-11.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -3.7 (+15.3) | 141.6 (-12.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -3.6 (+15.4) | 142.5 (-13.5) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | MORE 73 – 66 TNTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 TNTC |
| Jan 31, 2025 | TNTC 72 – 64 MORE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MORE 67 – 60 TNTC |
| Jan 5, 2024 | MORE 82 – 57 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#278) | -9.0 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#263) | -0.65 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#287) | -1.57 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#222) | 0.448 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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