Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -240 TNTC +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +8 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -3.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -2.9 (-10.9) | 138.7 (-2.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -5.1 (-13.1) | 139.5 (-3.5) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -2.8 (-10.8) | 137.0 (-1.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -3.2 (-11.2) | 137.8 (-1.8) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | MORE 73 – 66 TNTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 TNTC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TNTC 74 – 55 MORE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MORE 67 – 60 TNTC |
| Jan 5, 2024 | MORE 82 – 57 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.7 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#279) | -7.1 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#193) | -1.28 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#230) | -1.87 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#167) | 0.451 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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