Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC +500 MORE -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +7 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -12.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -11.9 (+4.9) | 132.3 (-5.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -12.2 (+5.2) | 132.0 (-5.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -11.6 (+4.6) | 131.7 (-4.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -11.7 (+4.7) | 133.6 (-6.6) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | MORE 73 – 66 TNTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 TNTC |
| Jan 31, 2025 | TNTC 72 – 64 MORE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TNTC 74 – 55 MORE |
| Jan 5, 2024 | MORE 82 – 57 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-13 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#335) | 4.1 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#336) | 1.04 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#332) | 1.06 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#329) | 0.556 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 17.5% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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