Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -185 TNTC +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -5.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -4.0 (+3.0) | 141.8 (-2.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -4.0 (+3.0) | 141.5 (-2.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -3.8 (+3.2) | 142.6 (-3.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -4.7 (+2.3) | 143.5 (-4.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 TNTC |
| Jan 31, 2025 | TNTC 72 – 64 MORE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TNTC 74 – 55 MORE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MORE 67 – 60 TNTC |
| Jan 5, 2024 | MORE 82 – 57 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-10 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#293) | -11.0 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#239) | -1.83 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#268) | -2.38 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#229) | 0.437 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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