Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC -130 MORE +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +6 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -0.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -0.3 (-6.3) | 141.0 (+5.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -0.9 (-6.9) | 139.0 (+7.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -0.3 (-6.3) | 139.6 (+6.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -0.2 (-6.2) | 139.8 (+6.2) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | MORE 73 – 66 TNTC |
| Jan 31, 2025 | TNTC 72 – 64 MORE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TNTC 74 – 55 MORE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MORE 67 – 60 TNTC |
| Jan 5, 2024 | MORE 82 – 57 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-12 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#321) | -8.6 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#311) | -1.21 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#313) | -2.03 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#316) | 0.462 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 63.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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