Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CCU -340 ULM +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +19 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -9.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -6.7 (+12.3) | 136.3 (-15.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | CCU -5.4 (+13.6) | 134.9 (-13.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | CCU -6.8 (+12.2) | 134.6 (-13.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -6.7 (+12.3) | 136.4 (-15.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CCU 83 – 79 ULM |
| Mar 5, 2024 | CCU 75 – 71 ULM |
| Feb 8, 2024 | ULM 79 – 75 CCU |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ULM 83 – 70 CCU |
| Dec 31, 2021 | CCU 94 – 64 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 3-15 |
| Home | 6-8 | 5-11 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#279) | -11.7 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#315) | -3.10 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#322) | -3.91 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#332) | 0.347 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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