But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Sun Belt Conference · The HTC Center · January 4, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CCU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money CCU -340 / ULM +270
Model Predictions
Spread Total CCU win
Actual CCU +19 121 Won
Massey CCU -9.3 (+9.7) — —
Massey Totals — 135.0 (-14.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CCU -6.8 (+12.2) 134.6 (-13.6) 76% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CCU -5.4 (+13.6) 134.9 (-13.9) 70% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CCU -6.7 (+12.3) 136.3 (-15.3) 69% ✓
Baseline ML CCU -6.7 (+12.3) 136.4 (-15.4) 72% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 CCU 83 – 79 ULM
Mar 5, 2024 CCU 75 – 71 ULM
Feb 8, 2024 ULM 79 – 75 CCU
Feb 3, 2023 ULM 83 – 70 CCU
Dec 31, 2021 CCU 94 – 64 ULM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CCU ULM
Overall 10-22 7-25
Conference 3-15 3-15
Home 6-8 5-11
Away 3-13 2-12
Neutral 1-1 0-2
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L2 L5
Avg Pts For 66.0 66.1
Avg Pts Against 72.2 76.9
Massey -6.5 (#279) -11.7 (#344)
Bradley-Terry -1.78 (#315) -3.10 (#352)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.52 (#322) -3.91 (#349)
RPI 0.402 (#332) 0.347 (#358)
Shooting & Four Factors CCU ULM
FG% 44.5% 41.1%
3PT% 34.3% 31.5%
REB / G 37.2 35.7
OREB / G 9.7 11.4
AST / TO 0.95 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 46.2%
TOV% 18.9% 18.6%
ORB% 28.9% 31.0%
FT Rate 24.8% 21.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.2% 54.0%
Opp TOV% 10.0% 17.3%
DRB% 75.7% 69.6%
Opp FT Rate 32.1% 18.8%

Game Analysis

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