Betting Lines
| Spread | ULM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | ULM -133 CCU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | ULM -1.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ULM -1.7 (-5.7) | 141.9 (+4.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ULM -1.3 (-5.3) | 140.0 (+6.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -1.8 (-5.8) | 141.1 (+4.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -2.2 (-6.2) | 142.8 (+3.2) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CCU 83 – 79 ULM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CCU 70 – 51 ULM |
| Feb 8, 2024 | ULM 79 – 75 CCU |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ULM 83 – 70 CCU |
| Dec 31, 2021 | CCU 94 – 64 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-11 |
| Away | 3-12 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#301) | -9.3 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#283) | -1.96 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#281) | -2.21 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#271) | 0.397 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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