Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | ULM +425 CCU -575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +4 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -9.3 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -9.7 (+5.7) | 146.9 (+15.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | CCU -9.0 (+5.0) | 146.8 (+15.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | CCU -8.8 (+4.8) | 143.5 (+18.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -9.3 (+5.3) | 144.3 (+17.7) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2025 | CCU 70 – 51 ULM |
| Mar 5, 2024 | CCU 75 – 71 ULM |
| Feb 8, 2024 | ULM 79 – 75 CCU |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ULM 83 – 70 CCU |
| Dec 31, 2021 | CCU 94 – 64 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 11-7 |
| Home | 3-10 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-15 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.4 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -17.0 (#357) | -4.7 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.17 (#364) | -0.09 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.41 (#364) | -0.50 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.355 (#362) | 0.511 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 12.2% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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