Betting Lines
| Spread | ULM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | ULM -125 CCU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +13 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | ULM -3.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ULM -2.1 (+10.9) | 141.1 (+11.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ULM -1.0 (+12.0) | 140.6 (+12.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -1.9 (+11.1) | 141.8 (+11.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -2.3 (+10.7) | 141.5 (+11.5) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CCU 83 – 79 ULM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CCU 70 – 51 ULM |
| Mar 5, 2024 | CCU 75 – 71 ULM |
| Feb 8, 2024 | ULM 79 – 75 CCU |
| Dec 31, 2021 | CCU 94 – 64 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-8 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#275) | -5.6 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#224) | -0.59 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#219) | -1.04 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#208) | 0.480 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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