Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +30 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -7.8 (+22.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -4.0 (+26.0) | 147.0 (+11.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -6.3 (+23.7) | 145.0 (+13.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -3.8 (+26.2) | 147.6 (+10.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -3.5 (+26.5) | 149.2 (+8.8) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CCU 83 – 79 ULM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CCU 70 – 51 ULM |
| Mar 5, 2024 | CCU 75 – 71 ULM |
| Feb 8, 2024 | ULM 79 – 75 CCU |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ULM 83 – 70 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#153) | -2.6 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#166) | 0.95 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#171) | 1.17 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#147) | 0.562 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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