Today Billie Joe McAllister jumped off the Tallahatchee Bridge "Ode to Billie Joe" - Bobbie Gentry
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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93–32 on winners spread MAE 9.0 125 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oakland @ Northern Kentucky -6.0 136.7 29% 78–87 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Wright State +2.1 147.4 58% 59–90 ✓
Creighton @ Seton Hall +6.0 137.7 71% 55–74 ✓
Princeton @ Cornell +1.2 164.0 54% 83–88 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Columbia -9.4 152.7 20% 81–66 ✓
Harvard @ Brown +5.5 140.6 69% 65–50 ✗
Milwaukee @ Purdue Fort Wayne +6.9 136.5 74% 60–70 ✓
Green Bay @ Cleveland State +12.4 134.2 87% 69–85 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Saint Peter's +7.5 139.7 75% 74–83 ✓
Rider @ Siena +4.6 132.2 66% 74–60 ✗
Iona @ Canisius -12.9 146.4 12% 70–62 ✓
Manhattan @ Niagara +7.2 136.8 74% 74–80 ✓
Fairfield @ Monmouth +6.6 135.5 73% 56–59 ✓
Toledo @ Ball State -10.8 155.0 16% 83–93 ✗
San Diego State @ Colorado State +2.1 129.0 58% 57–58 ✓
Nevada @ Fresno State +11.8 131.4 86% 56–73 ✓
UConn @ Villanova +6.8 133.0 73% 74–85 ✓
Illinois @ Indiana -0.6 137.6 48% 74–57 ✓
St. John's @ Butler -3.1 140.8 39% 75–72 ✓
Wake Forest @ Florida State -0.3 147.6 49% 68–60 ✓
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State +1.4 133.0 55% 55–64 ✓
Robert Morris @ IU Indianapolis -10.7 124.2 17% 66–49 ✓
Mercer @ Chattanooga +13.5 135.9 89% 68–77 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Furman +13.2 132.3 89% 58–56 ✗
Auburn @ Georgia -18.4 153.9 5% 74–72 ✓
Tennessee @ South Carolina -9.5 135.8 19% 81–57 ✓
Holy Cross @ Army +12.0 139.6 86% 69–65 ✗
Long Island University @ Wagner +13.9 147.1 90% 64–79 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Central Connecticut +3.8 135.1 64% 82–91 ✓
Vermont @ UMass Lowell -8.5 133.8 22% 78–67 ✓
Fordham @ Saint Joseph's +4.7 138.3 67% 69–72 ✓
Samford @ The Citadel +0.3 158.6 51% 93–107 ✓
Northwestern @ Nebraska -5.7 156.3 30% 87–63 ✓
Texas Tech @ West Virginia -5.3 130.9 32% 60–53 ✓
Iowa State @ Texas +6.6 116.2 73% 41–63 ✓
DePaul @ Xavier +12.0 144.6 86% 69–65 ✗
Bucknell @ Lafayette +5.4 144.4 69% 72–74 ✓
Tulsa @ Temple +5.5 134.3 69% 58–67 ✓
East Carolina @ Tulane +8.6 145.3 78% 66–86 ✓
Boston University @ Lehigh -4.1 140.0 35% 80–74 ✓
Merrimack @ Saint Francis +3.0 125.7 61% 65–64 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ Gardner-Webb +10.5 132.1 83% 62–69 ✓
Louisville @ Syracuse +7.0 151.2 74% 69–92 ✓
Clemson @ Georgia Tech -5.3 139.9 31% 64–69 ✗
Maine @ Binghamton +14.3 131.1 90% 60–69 ✓
Youngstown State @ UIC +0.6 147.7 52% 66–64 ✗
South Alabama @ Georgia State -3.7 143.2 37% 62–69 ✗
Bradley @ Evansville -10.9 124.6 16% 76–41 ✓
Massachusetts @ Rhode Island +8.8 145.6 79% 78–67 ✗
George Mason @ La Salle -6.5 139.2 28% 78–83 ✗
Dayton @ Saint Louis +3.2 134.0 61% 61–72 ✓
Davidson @ George Washington -10.6 143.4 17% 78–73 ✓
Denver @ North Dakota State +8.7 139.9 79% 65–73 ✓
Omaha @ North Dakota +3.4 154.7 62% 85–92 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Wofford +8.5 141.4 78% 60–62 ✓
James Madison @ Hofstra +9.3 157.5 80% 78–85 ✓
Towson @ Northeastern -8.4 124.7 22% 53–58 ✗
Western Michigan @ Ohio +22.3 138.2 98% 64–77 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Kent State +8.4 136.3 78% 71–90 ✓
Michigan @ Purdue +12.4 149.7 87% 76–82 ✓
UTEP @ Rice +2.2 143.7 58% 72–70 ✗
Utah Tech @ Stephen F. Austin +12.7 143.7 88% 52–81 ✓
Utah Valley @ Sam Houston -0.2 130.5 49% 57–54 ✓
Notre Dame @ NC State -0.9 146.6 47% 69–57 ✓
UL Monroe @ Little Rock -0.9 147.1 47% 75–72 ✓
Alabama State @ Grambling +2.8 146.0 60% 80–72 ✗
Ole Miss @ Florida +9.0 131.5 79% 57–62 ✓
Baylor @ Kansas +1.0 152.6 54% 59–83 ✓
Michigan State @ Rutgers -6.2 131.2 29% 63–84 ✗
Coppin State @ North Carolina Central +6.5 143.5 72% 68–69 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Howard +10.2 143.9 82% 64–72 ✓
Colgate @ American University -11.0 138.2 16% 86–68 ✓
Washington State @ California -6.6 126.0 27% 68–64 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Santa Barbara +8.7 140.6 79% 48–84 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Bethune-Cookman -1.4 142.4 45% 67–68 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ UAB +10.1 143.7 82% 75–97 ✓
Southern Miss @ Florida Atlantic +16.9 137.8 94% 57–84 ✓
Marshall @ Charlotte +3.6 152.1 63% 64–88 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona -5.1 153.2 32% 74–71 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Abilene Christian +11.0 158.5 84% 66–83 ✓
Sacred Heart @ St. Francis Brooklyn +4.1 144.6 65% 66–62 ✗
Bryant @ Mount St. Mary's +1.8 144.6 56% 62–61 ✗
Campbell @ South Carolina Upstate +0.2 137.9 51% 80–71 ✗
UAlbany @ Hartford +1.9 134.2 57% 71–52 ✗
Troy @ Georgia Southern +1.1 130.5 54% 61–52 ✗
Duquesne @ VCU +14.3 122.4 90% 62–71 ✓
Charleston @ Elon -3.1 152.6 39% 66–64 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary -5.9 138.0 30% 92–70 ✓
Missouri @ Texas A&M +11.0 133.8 84% 70–66 ✗
Stetson @ Central Arkansas -1.2 151.5 46% 75–79 ✗
Austin Peay @ Morehead State +10.5 131.3 83% 52–77 ✓
Tennessee State @ UT Martin +5.1 142.3 68% 69–61 ✗
Texas Southern @ Florida A&M -5.5 130.0 31% 67–55 ✓
North Florida @ North Alabama +4.2 130.6 65% 71–58 ✗
Buffalo @ Central Michigan -11.2 151.8 15% 74–54 ✓
USC @ Arizona +13.3 148.3 89% 63–72 ✓
Jackson State @ Mississippi Valley State -9.9 134.9 18% 69–65 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State +14.1 141.3 90% 56–63 ✓
Navy @ Loyola Maryland -2.6 125.4 41% 56–55 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word -7.9 144.6 24% 70–78 ✗
Northwestern State @ McNeese +6.8 157.3 73% 84–93 ✓
Presbyterian @ Radford +1.7 120.7 56% 78–70 ✗
Miami @ Virginia +1.3 127.8 55% 58–71 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb -0.5 162.5 48% 77–68 ✓
Louisiana @ Arkansas State +2.7 140.1 60% 58–67 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green +7.7 150.8 76% 65–87 ✓
Winthrop @ Hampton -7.4 141.3 25% 69–57 ✓
Longwood @ Charleston Southern -15.0 143.5 9% 69–67 ✓
Jacksonville @ Jacksonville State +7.2 123.4 74% 58–64 ✓
Duke @ North Carolina -3.5 152.9 38% 87–67 ✓
Penn State @ Wisconsin +8.2 127.5 77% 49–51 ✓
LSU @ Vanderbilt -7.2 125.4 26% 66–75 ✗
SMU @ Wichita State +1.1 137.7 54% 57–72 ✓
Oregon State @ Colorado +10.1 137.6 82% 63–86 ✓
UTSA @ North Texas +21.6 120.6 98% 45–69 ✓
Seattle U @ New Mexico State +6.1 141.9 71% 64–79 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Cornell +4.0 157.8 64% 73–68 ✗
Dartmouth @ Brown +6.0 131.1 71% 60–62 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Texas State +2.3 132.5 58% 64–69 ✓
App State @ UT Arlington -0.1 128.0 50% 70–61 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Drake +5.5 146.8 69% 74–69 ✗
UNLV @ Utah State +10.0 141.3 82% 75–90 ✓
San José State @ Boise State +21.1 126.8 97% 60–76 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Southern +14.9 129.1 91% 64–73 ✓
Alcorn State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -8.3 140.8 22% 70–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.