But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
43–14 on winners spread MAE 9.0 57 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State +12.3 137.0 87% 65–78 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Old Dominion -0.4 139.0 49% 77–60 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Florida International -6.7 142.0 27% 86–82 ✓
Santa Clara @ San Diego -5.3 144.7 32% 79–66 ✓
UNC Asheville @ High Point +1.4 134.0 55% 83–91 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Pittsburgh -8.2 124.3 23% 76–71 ✓
Princeton @ Columbia -12.0 159.1 14% 85–63 ✓
Harvard @ Yale +5.4 144.5 69% 55–58 ✓
Stony Brook @ NJIT -2.6 142.2 41% 62–65 ✗
New Hampshire @ UMBC +4.2 136.2 65% 77–88 ✓
Liberty @ Eastern Kentucky -6.8 145.6 27% 91–84 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Bellarmine +4.0 137.2 64% 75–70 ✗
Oakland @ Wright State -2.6 151.0 41% 64–75 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky +2.8 136.1 60% 74–68 ✗
Indiana State @ Valparaiso +1.8 142.5 57% 72–79 ✓
Kentucky @ Alabama -2.8 160.9 40% 66–55 ✓
UCF @ Memphis +6.1 147.8 71% 60–88 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Davis +0.0 136.7 50% 65–68 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Murray State +21.1 140.9 97% 59–79 ✓
Montana State @ Weber State +4.5 148.1 66% 78–57 ✗
Montana @ Idaho State -10.5 123.0 17% 63–86 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Houston Christian -6.0 146.9 29% 80–93 ✗
California Baptist @ Grand Canyon +11.7 136.5 86% 50–56 ✓
Chicago State @ Tarleton State +14.8 129.4 91% 54–57 ✓
Pacific @ Pepperdine +2.8 139.9 60% 64–70 ✓
San Francisco @ Portland -12.3 140.9 13% 74–71 ✓
Kansas State @ TCU +4.6 125.1 66% 75–63 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Illinois State +1.1 138.4 54% 75–69 ✗
St. Thomas @ Oral Roberts +10.9 160.6 84% 66–88 ✓
Western Illinois @ Kansas City -0.4 143.4 49% 82–91 ✗
South Dakota State @ South Dakota -8.7 156.8 21% 89–79 ✓
New Mexico @ Air Force -0.5 136.9 48% 91–77 ✓
Oregon @ Utah -2.2 144.4 42% 80–77 ✓
Belmont @ Tennessee Tech -13.0 150.2 12% 100–92 ✓
Mississippi State @ Arkansas +4.0 149.2 64% 55–63 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Southern Utah +4.3 155.7 65% 72–84 ✓
Gonzaga @ BYU -9.8 158.1 19% 90–57 ✓
UCLA @ Arizona State -12.9 133.5 12% 84–87 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Fullerton +8.6 129.5 78% 61–75 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Northridge -10.7 118.5 17% 75–70 ✓
Sacramento State @ Portland State +6.8 134.5 73% 65–73 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Saint Mary's +17.8 127.9 95% 60–71 ✓
Providence @ Georgetown -7.3 145.8 25% 71–52 ✓
Maryland @ Ohio State +9.7 144.0 81% 67–82 ✓
Iona @ Niagara -6.6 137.5 27% 71–80 ✗
Manhattan @ Canisius +2.2 146.1 58% 70–77 ✓
Green Bay @ Purdue Fort Wayne +8.7 130.4 79% 55–71 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Missouri State +0.6 139.4 52% 71–62 ✗
Monmouth @ Quinnipiac -4.3 146.7 35% 76–63 ✓
Marist @ Saint Peter's +3.9 131.5 64% 50–66 ✓
Siena @ Fairfield +9.8 130.7 81% 62–56 ✗
Milwaukee @ Cleveland State +11.8 141.9 86% 71–84 ✓
Nevada @ San Diego State +13.3 127.1 89% 63–65 ✓
Washington @ Stanford +6.5 138.4 72% 69–87 ✓
Akron @ Miami (OH) -1.2 138.1 46% 71–59 ✓
Minnesota @ Iowa +11.4 152.4 85% 59–71 ✓
Houston @ Cincinnati -9.7 128.5 19% 80–58 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.