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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–2 on winners
spread MAE 7.3
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wyoming
@
Fresno State
|
+2.5 | 127.3 | 59% | 61–59 | ✗ |
Charlotte
@
Florida International
|
+1.2 | 139.7 | 54% | 81–68 | ✗ |
UNC Wilmington
@
Hofstra
|
+8.5 | 148.2 | 78% | 71–73 | ✓ |
Holy Cross
@
Colgate
|
+18.7 | 140.1 | 96% | 60–87 | ✓ |
Hartford
@
UMass Lowell
|
+6.9 | 138.8 | 74% | 75–85 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.