Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Ocean Bank Convocation Center · February 7, 2022
Betting Lines
O/U 138.0 Over
Money FIU -115 / CLT -105
Model Predictions
Spread Total FIU win
Actual CLT +13 149 Lost
Massey FIU -0.8 (-13.8) — —
Massey Totals — 139.5 (+9.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 37% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 47% ✓
Baseline Plus ML FIU -0.6 (-13.6) 142.2 (+6.8) 48% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FIU -0.1 (-13.1) 141.7 (+7.3) 46% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML FIU -1.3 (-14.3) 142.6 (+6.4) 53% ✗
Baseline ML FIU -0.4 (-13.4) 143.9 (+5.1) 49% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 3, 2023 FIU 57 – 54 CLT
Jan 6, 2023 FIU 62 – 60 CLT
Feb 25, 2022 CLT 64 – 55 FIU
Jan 30, 2021 CLT 68 – 65 FIU
Jan 29, 2021 CLT 63 – 55 FIU

Game Analysis

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