In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Halton Arena · February 25, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CLT -7.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLT win
Actual CLT +9 119 Won
Massey CLT -6.4 (+2.6) — —
Massey Totals — 141.6 (-22.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 79% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLT -6.7 (+2.3) 143.7 (-24.7) 72% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLT -5.7 (+3.3) 141.3 (-22.3) 73% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLT -5.9 (+3.1) 146.2 (-27.2) 71% ✓
Baseline ML CLT -6.7 (+2.3) 147.5 (-28.5) 75% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 3, 2023 FIU 57 – 54 CLT
Jan 6, 2023 FIU 62 – 60 CLT
Feb 7, 2022 CLT 81 – 68 FIU
Jan 30, 2021 CLT 68 – 65 FIU
Jan 29, 2021 CLT 63 – 55 FIU

Game Analysis

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