In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Conference USA · Ocean Bank Convocation Center · January 6, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CLT -5.5 Home covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money FIU +200 / CLT -200
Model Predictions
Spread Total FIU win
Actual FIU +2 122 Won
Massey CLT -8.0 (+10.0) — —
Massey Totals — 134.0 (-12.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 13% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 8% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CLT -8.8 (+10.8) 134.6 (-12.6) 25% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLT -8.6 (+10.6) 132.8 (-10.8) 24% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CLT -8.2 (+10.2) 136.3 (-14.3) 21% ✗
Baseline ML CLT -8.3 (+10.3) 137.6 (-15.6) 24% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 3, 2023 FIU 57 – 54 CLT
Feb 25, 2022 CLT 64 – 55 FIU
Feb 7, 2022 CLT 81 – 68 FIU
Jan 30, 2021 CLT 68 – 65 FIU
Jan 29, 2021 CLT 63 – 55 FIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FIU CLT
Overall 14-18 22-14
Conference 8-12 9-11
Home 11-7 11-4
Away 3-10 5-8
Neutral 0-1 6-2
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 W4
Avg Pts For 72.5 66.9
Avg Pts Against 75.5 62.6
Massey -6.5 (#292) 5.9 (#84)
Bradley-Terry -1.28 (#293) 1.43 (#68)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.80 (#299) 1.54 (#83)
RPI 0.436 (#290) 0.567 (#68)
Shooting & Four Factors FIU CLT
FG% 47.0% 48.5%
3PT% 29.7% 38.1%
REB / G 32.4 31.1
OREB / G 8.7 7.2
AST / TO 0.76 1.31
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.3% 55.9%
TOV% 22.5% 17.4%
ORB% 25.5% 25.0%
FT Rate 17.5% 19.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.3% 48.4%
Opp TOV% 23.6% 19.6%
DRB% 67.0% 75.7%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 17.8%

Game Analysis

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