And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
Conference USA · Halton Arena · February 3, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CLT -6.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money CLT -300 / FIU +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLT win
Actual FIU +3 111 Lost
Massey CLT -12.3 (-15.3) — —
Massey Totals — 134.5 (-23.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 78% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 87% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CLT -10.9 (-13.9) 133.8 (-22.8) 83% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLT -8.8 (-11.8) 133.0 (-22.0) 83% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CLT -9.8 (-12.8) 134.8 (-23.8) 83% ✗
Baseline ML CLT -10.3 (-13.3) 136.7 (-25.7) 82% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 6, 2023 FIU 62 – 60 CLT
Feb 25, 2022 CLT 64 – 55 FIU
Feb 7, 2022 CLT 81 – 68 FIU
Jan 30, 2021 CLT 68 – 65 FIU
Jan 29, 2021 CLT 63 – 55 FIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLT FIU
Overall 22-14 14-18
Conference 9-11 8-12
Home 11-4 11-7
Away 5-8 3-10
Neutral 6-2 0-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak W4 L1
Avg Pts For 66.9 72.5
Avg Pts Against 62.6 75.5
Massey 5.0 (#95) -3.7 (#239)
Bradley-Terry 0.56 (#127) -0.07 (#177)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.75 (#120) -0.43 (#205)
RPI 0.523 (#136) 0.484 (#202)
Shooting & Four Factors CLT FIU
FG% 48.1% 46.2%
3PT% 37.9% 32.4%
REB / G 31.0 31.6
OREB / G 7.0 8.6
AST / TO 1.24 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.6% 52.3%
TOV% 17.8% 21.3%
ORB% 24.6% 25.5%
FT Rate 17.8% 19.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.0% 52.1%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 22.7%
DRB% 77.3% 64.9%
Opp FT Rate 19.2% 20.9%

Game Analysis

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