Betting Lines
| Spread | FRES -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +2 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | FRES -2.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FRES -1.8 (-3.8) | 123.6 (-3.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FRES -1.6 (-3.6) | 131.3 (-11.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FRES -1.8 (-3.8) | 131.9 (-11.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FRES -1.8 (-3.8) | 127.5 (-7.5) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WYO 92 – 82 FRES |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FRES 63 – 60 WYO |
| Mar 5, 2025 | FRES 62 – 58 WYO |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WYO 83 – 72 FRES |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FRES 77 – 73 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FRES | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 59.6 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#55) | 10.2 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#71) | 2.97 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#65) | 3.46 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#83) | 0.622 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FRES | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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