Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | FRES +110 WYO -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FRES +4 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -1.3 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-24.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -1.5 (+5.5) | 140.2 (-20.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -2.1 (+6.1) | 139.9 (-19.9) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -1.3 (+5.3) | 139.7 (-19.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -1.2 (+5.2) | 141.8 (-21.8) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WYO 92 – 82 FRES |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FRES 63 – 60 WYO |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WYO 83 – 72 FRES |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FRES 77 – 73 WYO |
| Mar 10, 2024 | WYO 86 – 47 FRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FRES | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 5-15 |
| Home | 5-9 | 8-7 |
| Away | 1-14 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.7 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#260) | -1.3 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#332) | -0.24 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#320) | -0.44 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#344) | 0.463 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FRES | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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