Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -450 FRES +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -8.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -6.9 (+4.1) | 141.9 (+13.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -7.7 (+3.3) | 141.6 (+13.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -6.5 (+4.5) | 138.7 (+16.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -6.0 (+5.0) | 138.8 (+16.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WYO 92 – 82 FRES |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FRES 63 – 60 WYO |
| Mar 5, 2025 | FRES 62 – 58 WYO |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FRES 77 – 73 WYO |
| Mar 10, 2024 | WYO 86 – 47 FRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 2-18 |
| Home | 8-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-10 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 80.7 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#180) | -6.1 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#168) | -1.37 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#174) | -1.70 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#189) | 0.426 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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