Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -213 FRES +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FRES +4 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | WYO -4.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -2.9 (-6.9) | 137.8 (+12.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -4.8 (-8.8) | 137.5 (+12.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -5.3 (-9.3) | 139.6 (+10.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -5.2 (-9.2) | 139.3 (+10.7) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WYO 92 – 82 FRES |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FRES 63 – 60 WYO |
| Mar 5, 2025 | FRES 62 – 58 WYO |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WYO 83 – 72 FRES |
| Mar 10, 2024 | WYO 86 – 47 FRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#159) | -3.8 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#123) | -0.37 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#131) | -0.47 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#136) | 0.470 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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