Betting Lines
| Spread | FRES -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | FRES -125 WYO +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +39 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | FRES -1.3 (-40.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -1.6 (-37.4) | 142.7 (-9.7) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FRES -0.1 (-39.1) | 140.5 (-7.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FRES -0.1 (-39.1) | 140.9 (-7.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -0.2 (-38.8) | 141.8 (-8.8) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WYO 92 – 82 FRES |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FRES 63 – 60 WYO |
| Mar 5, 2025 | FRES 62 – 58 WYO |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WYO 83 – 72 FRES |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FRES 77 – 73 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FRES | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#205) | -0.7 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#204) | 0.49 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#192) | 0.37 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#238) | 0.512 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FRES | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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