Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | FRES +136 WYO -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FRES +3 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -3.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -2.7 (+5.7) | 140.7 (-17.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -4.0 (+7.0) | 140.0 (-17.0) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -2.6 (+5.6) | 137.8 (-14.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -2.8 (+5.8) | 138.9 (-15.9) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WYO 92 – 82 FRES |
| Mar 5, 2025 | FRES 62 – 58 WYO |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WYO 83 – 72 FRES |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FRES 77 – 73 WYO |
| Mar 10, 2024 | WYO 86 – 47 FRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FRES | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-7 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#142) | 8.4 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#179) | 0.69 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#155) | 0.93 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#185) | 0.533 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FRES | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 37.0% |
Game Analysis
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