Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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82–42 on winners spread MAE 8.1 124 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
St. Bonaventure @ Dayton +8.6 136.6 80% 71–76 ✓
Ohio State @ Iowa +5.5 153.3 71% 77–79 ✓
Cornell @ Dartmouth -12.8 142.8 14% 56–53 ✓
Siena @ Rider +9.2 138.7 84% 50–91 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Manhattan -8.0 147.8 20% 77–71 ✓
Niagara @ Saint Peter's +4.6 134.0 64% 68–59 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Marist +1.9 129.2 56% 76–58 ✗
Fairfield @ Iona +4.9 146.9 74% 82–91 ✓
Princeton @ Yale +1.1 137.4 56% 64–70 ✓
Columbia @ Harvard +4.8 146.6 75% 59–62 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Brown -0.7 143.1 56% 61–70 ✗
Butler @ Creighton +8.5 154.2 78% 99–98 ✗
Toledo @ Akron +6.2 140.8 72% 70–77 ✓
San José State @ Nevada +11.6 142.0 86% 60–90 ✓
UConn @ St. John's -2.7 140.2 34% 77–64 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Miami +3.0 145.3 68% 74–82 ✓
Penn State @ Indiana +3.8 150.2 69% 85–71 ✗
Navy @ Colgate +11.3 132.5 85% 64–88 ✓
Arkansas @ LSU +5.2 152.4 71% 74–95 ✓
George Mason @ Massachusetts +3.2 141.5 68% 65–66 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ La Salle -4.4 146.3 35% 88–82 ✓
Duquesne @ Rhode Island -3.8 142.9 34% 85–71 ✓
Wichita State @ Memphis +10.5 152.4 85% 63–65 ✓
Lehigh @ Boston University -0.4 133.2 46% 71–72 ✗
South Carolina @ Georgia -0.1 141.0 51% 72–62 ✓
Ball State @ Western Michigan -0.4 141.9 48% 77–67 ✓
Robert Morris @ Detroit Mercy -7.2 144.5 21% 75–67 ✓
Cleveland State @ Oakland +3.9 149.7 69% 71–83 ✓
Grambling @ Jackson State +2.4 133.8 57% 70–62 ✗
Marquette @ Georgetown -11.2 147.0 14% 91–57 ✓
Texas @ TCU +6.3 149.4 69% 77–66 ✗
Virginia @ Clemson +5.8 129.9 62% 66–65 ✗
Kansas State @ Oklahoma State -1.1 136.3 48% 72–75 ✗
East Carolina @ Charlotte +8.1 132.0 80% 52–67 ✓
Southern Illinois @ UIC -5.1 133.2 34% 74–71 ✓
Murray State @ Northern Iowa +4.2 135.6 72% 71–43 ✗
Belmont @ Missouri State +3.4 149.9 68% 80–87 ✓
Bradley @ Illinois State -8.2 133.1 24% 73–60 ✓
Winthrop @ UNC Asheville +2.3 149.2 72% 78–82 ✓
Longwood @ Charleston Southern -7.7 138.9 24% 77–83 ✗
Monmouth @ Delaware +5.5 145.1 74% 80–84 ✓
Charleston @ William & Mary -10.2 154.8 18% 84–83 ✓
Northwestern @ Minnesota +0.5 140.2 54% 66–75 ✓
Le Moyne @ Sacred Heart +1.8 146.3 62% 81–87 ✓
Wagner @ Stonehill -5.4 130.3 29% 61–71 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Ohio +6.4 145.4 77% 69–78 ✓
VMI @ Mercer +11.6 143.5 86% 69–90 ✓
Binghamton @ Vermont +14.2 133.9 88% 49–62 ✓
Sam Houston @ Florida International -3.2 144.9 35% 61–68 ✗
Fordham @ Saint Louis +0.6 145.9 55% 67–65 ✗
California @ Arizona State +4.8 146.8 73% 81–66 ✗
Rice @ UTSA +0.1 156.6 45% 80–76 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Merrimack +4.2 132.1 74% 68–71 ✓
App State @ Georgia Southern -10.2 146.2 20% 85–84 ✓
Bryant @ Maine -0.1 140.7 50% 72–79 ✗
Utah State @ San Diego State +4.4 144.9 75% 67–81 ✓
Missouri @ Vanderbilt -1.5 139.2 50% 61–68 ✗
UL Monroe @ Arkansas State +7.9 150.5 80% 80–95 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama State +6.4 136.0 68% 79–68 ✗
Houston @ Kansas -2.3 131.6 40% 65–78 ✗
Oklahoma @ UCF -0.4 134.2 62% 63–74 ✗
Hampton @ Howard +8.4 149.1 79% 63–61 ✗
Evansville @ Valparaiso +0.8 141.2 55% 63–62 ✗
Radford @ South Carolina Upstate -2.2 135.7 44% 69–78 ✗
Elon @ North Carolina A&T +1.5 148.7 51% 69–65 ✗
Rutgers @ Michigan +3.7 143.7 63% 69–59 ✗
Florida @ Texas A&M +2.1 151.4 65% 66–67 ✓
Richmond @ VCU +2.9 133.0 61% 52–63 ✓
Bucknell @ American University +3.0 134.1 60% 66–75 ✓
Air Force @ Boise State +14.4 134.6 88% 56–94 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois +6.5 145.3 78% 66–76 ✓
Western Carolina @ Wofford -1.4 147.2 54% 86–88 ✗
The Citadel @ East Tennessee State +5.0 134.9 78% 60–62 ✓
Old Dominion @ James Madison +14.7 155.7 88% 63–78 ✓
Troy @ Georgia State -3.4 149.4 35% 78–74 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Marshall +11.6 153.9 86% 74–91 ✓
Bellarmine @ Queens University +4.3 148.9 68% 75–85 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Utah Valley -5.5 140.5 31% 86–67 ✓
Idaho State @ Northern Arizona +0.9 136.1 51% 81–79 ✗
Morgan State @ South Carolina State +5.0 149.7 62% 72–70 ✗
Southern @ Alcorn State -2.0 144.6 39% 71–70 ✓
Delaware State @ Norfolk State +8.7 133.0 84% 64–65 ✓
Coppin State @ North Carolina Central +11.2 130.9 87% 46–77 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Northwestern State -0.0 141.3 52% 57–70 ✗
Morehead State @ Tennessee Tech -12.2 132.0 15% 67–60 ✓
Houston Christian @ Nicholls +10.6 152.1 86% 73–83 ✓
Samford @ Chattanooga +0.2 155.6 49% 78–56 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Tennessee State +6.8 137.6 76% 74–79 ✓
UT Martin @ SIU Edwardsville +1.0 143.3 54% 90–79 ✗
Little Rock @ Eastern Illinois -0.5 138.6 47% 71–47 ✓
Lamar @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +5.1 144.5 76% 71–79 ✓
North Dakota State @ North Dakota +3.0 145.6 64% 58–60 ✓
McNeese @ SE Louisiana -8.8 134.0 21% 74–77 ✗
Stetson @ Central Arkansas -7.5 148.6 27% 73–62 ✓
Western Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State -7.1 134.3 22% 76–55 ✓
Colorado @ Utah +2.5 150.6 68% 68–73 ✓
Florida A&M @ Alabama A&M +2.0 143.5 68% 61–73 ✓
Holy Cross @ Loyola Maryland +2.7 135.4 53% 70–67 ✗
Jacksonville @ Lipscomb +9.5 146.9 83% 82–84 ✓
Central Michigan @ Bowling Green +5.2 140.2 69% 77–76 ✗
New Hampshire @ UMass Lowell +8.4 149.7 78% 89–73 ✗
Incarnate Word @ New Orleans +0.5 151.3 49% 82–80 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Kennesaw State +2.2 159.5 57% 86–76 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Tarleton State +0.9 140.4 60% 64–75 ✓
UT Arlington @ Utah Tech -2.4 148.0 48% 87–66 ✓
Southern Miss @ Texas State +1.0 133.6 55% 55–60 ✓
North Florida @ Austin Peay +0.6 143.4 57% 91–95 ✓
Georgia Tech @ NC State +7.7 149.3 79% 76–82 ✓
Maryland @ Michigan State +7.6 130.8 77% 54–63 ✓
Cincinnati @ Texas Tech +3.8 140.8 69% 75–72 ✗
Auburn @ Ole Miss -3.8 145.5 37% 91–77 ✓
Tulsa @ Florida Atlantic +18.4 157.7 89% 70–102 ✓
BYU @ West Virginia -12.2 148.4 20% 86–73 ✓
Lafayette @ Army -1.1 124.0 38% 64–56 ✓
Notre Dame @ Pittsburgh +12.6 130.5 86% 60–70 ✓
South Florida @ North Texas +7.4 124.2 71% 60–55 ✗
Drake @ Indiana State +5.0 152.7 66% 67–75 ✓
Towson @ Hofstra +2.7 132.5 58% 56–59 ✓
Columbia @ Dartmouth -4.2 135.7 33% 72–56 ✓
Princeton @ Brown -10.8 137.6 19% 70–60 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal Poly -7.4 129.5 18% 59–52 ✓
Duke @ North Carolina +6.2 149.6 76% 84–93 ✓
Northeastern @ Stony Brook +3.5 140.9 68% 55–59 ✓
Texas Southern @ Prairie View A&M +0.5 142.5 42% 80–69 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.