Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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41–22 on winners spread MAE 8.9 63 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tulane @ SMU +9.3 155.8 83% 76–80 ✓
Longwood @ High Point +4.3 146.3 70% 76–93 ✓
Stony Brook @ Hofstra +8.0 145.1 81% 71–72 ✓
Northeastern @ Towson +8.7 131.5 81% 76–83 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +4.0 153.4 66% 80–74 ✗
Hampton @ North Carolina A&T +5.6 152.5 77% 58–59 ✓
Drexel @ Monmouth -3.0 137.1 43% 62–67 ✗
Delaware @ William & Mary -6.3 139.4 29% 81–53 ✓
Campbell @ Elon +1.8 136.5 58% 69–67 ✗
Long Island University @ Fairleigh Dickinson +6.8 151.5 81% 75–82 ✓
Le Moyne @ Wagner +0.2 130.8 42% 57–80 ✓
Stonehill @ Sacred Heart +8.6 143.6 84% 72–77 ✓
Saint Francis @ Central Connecticut +11.1 137.9 85% 62–63 ✓
Robert Morris @ Oakland +7.0 149.4 80% 72–87 ✓
Milwaukee @ Purdue Fort Wayne +5.9 160.7 67% 68–65 ✗
Cleveland State @ Detroit Mercy -10.7 148.3 16% 77–65 ✓
Old Dominion @ Marshall +7.5 151.9 79% 83–76 ✗
Troy @ Georgia Southern -6.4 147.4 25% 84–63 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ James Madison +18.5 155.4 90% 67–105 ✓
App State @ Georgia State -5.8 148.0 29% 81–71 ✓
UMBC @ Bryant +9.6 162.8 84% 95–99 ✓
UAlbany @ Vermont +12.7 144.5 87% 59–81 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Florida International -7.7 141.7 22% 93–53 ✓
Bellarmine @ Kennesaw State +8.7 146.1 78% 96–95 ✗
Utah Valley @ Stephen F. Austin +5.2 141.4 74% 72–77 ✓
Morehead State @ Tennessee State -4.1 135.8 31% 68–49 ✓
South Alabama @ Texas State +2.3 139.0 63% 66–74 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Omaha -0.5 134.9 42% 65–69 ✗
North Dakota @ South Dakota -1.6 152.6 35% 95–81 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota State +7.1 150.1 76% 74–73 ✗
Denver @ Kansas City +0.7 157.3 58% 71–85 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Queens University -1.2 157.7 39% 76–94 ✗
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian -0.4 140.4 44% 76–73 ✓
Weber State @ Northern Arizona -7.7 138.1 23% 72–70 ✓
Idaho State @ Northern Colorado +7.3 144.4 77% 86–91 ✓
Wisconsin @ Nebraska -2.1 144.4 46% 72–80 ✗
California @ Arizona +21.3 155.5 90% 65–91 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Tennessee Tech +1.1 135.6 48% 74–71 ✗
Little Rock @ SIU Edwardsville +3.8 142.3 70% 66–68 ✓
Western Illinois @ Lindenwood -6.4 130.8 20% 79–71 ✓
UT Martin @ Eastern Illinois -1.7 144.2 42% 76–59 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Central Arkansas -4.5 143.0 32% 82–59 ✓
UT Arlington @ Southern Utah +2.4 151.1 65% 76–68 ✗
Stetson @ North Alabama -0.3 150.0 49% 72–79 ✗
Stanford @ Arizona State +2.7 148.6 61% 71–62 ✗
Youngstown State @ Wright State -1.2 159.5 33% 88–77 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Utah Tech +5.0 148.4 72% 64–81 ✓
Seattle U @ Grand Canyon +8.7 137.6 84% 88–95 ✓
Sam Houston @ Western Kentucky +3.8 147.9 61% 79–77 ✗
Liberty @ New Mexico State -6.8 134.6 28% 73–79 ✗
Jacksonville State @ UTEP -0.3 129.7 65% 71–79 ✗
Idaho @ Montana +12.2 137.0 87% 70–73 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana State -2.6 147.3 35% 60–70 ✗
Portland @ Pacific -2.9 146.8 39% 65–60 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal Poly -14.4 132.6 13% 73–59 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Bakersfield -1.9 143.4 40% 76–82 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ UC San Diego +9.4 145.2 85% 62–83 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton +0.5 131.4 57% 76–68 ✗
Oregon @ USC +0.4 144.2 53% 78–69 ✗
Oregon State @ UCLA +7.2 132.7 76% 63–71 ✓
San Diego @ San Francisco +16.3 146.6 89% 79–95 ✓
UC Davis @ UC Santa Barbara +3.1 141.6 70% 79–69 ✗
Kent State @ Buffalo -9.0 143.3 19% 83–52 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.