Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | SUU -110 UTA +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -2.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -2.4 (-10.4) | 151.1 (-7.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -1.8 (-9.8) | 151.3 (-7.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -1.2 (-9.2) | 151.8 (-7.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -2.5 (-10.5) | 152.3 (-8.3) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UTA 69 – 63 SUU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SUU 78 – 73 UTA |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTA 80 – 61 SUU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UTA 86 – 77 SUU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UTA 70 – 68 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 13-7 |
| Home | 6-8 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#206) | -1.3 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#240) | -0.32 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#208) | -0.29 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#234) | 0.481 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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