Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UTA -225 SUU +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +6 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UTA -7.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -6.1 (-0.1) | 136.0 (-4.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -6.2 (-0.2) | 137.5 (-5.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -6.4 (-0.4) | 135.0 (-3.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -6.2 (-0.2) | 134.9 (-2.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | SUU 78 – 73 UTA |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTA 80 – 61 SUU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UTA 86 – 77 SUU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UTA 70 – 68 SUU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SUU 73 – 68 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#171) | -7.6 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#128) | -0.89 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#127) | -0.95 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#124) | 0.440 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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